US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026?
9.0% (24h)FedQuarterlyTrade PolicyUS PoliticsGeopolitikCentral Banks4T
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit5%+ 95%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
52 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
823,6 €
Liquidität
5415,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
68.0% / 74.0%
Spread
8.8%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
23. Juli 26, 22:0530. Juli 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
5%+95%
Plattformen vergleichen· 5%+
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 95% | — | 823,6 € | 5415,4 € | vor 8 Minuten | |
 Kalshi90% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 92% | — | 18,5 € | 7772 € | vor 28 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026
1.0%4T
92%
+1.0%71%
14%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
44 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen22.220,2 €
24h-Volumen18,5 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 of 2026 is at least equal to or higher than the listed figure.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The total effective tariff rate will be the number reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of St.
- Louis in the chart titled: "Federal government current tax receipts: Taxes on production and imports: Customs duties/Current payments to the rest of the world: Imports of goods*100" for Q2 of 2026.
- This data can be found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1wn5e.
- In the event that this data is not published by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$93723. Juli4T Daten26. Juli
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 of 2026 is at least equal to or higher than the listed figure.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The total effective tariff rate will be the number reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of St.
- Louis in the chart titled: "Federal government current tax receipts: Taxes on production and imports: Customs duties/Current payments to the rest of the world: Imports of goods*100" for Q2 of 2026.
- This data can be found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1wn5e.
- In the event that this data is not published by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".