KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAbove 0.5% 93%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
4384,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
31.0% / 98.0%
Spread
216.1%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Minuten
1. Mai 26, 17:0030. Juli 26, 12:25
Trends
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Above 0.5%93%
Volumentrend
$917. Juli9T Daten26. Juli
Makro-Sensible Assets
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KALSHI
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727 €5%+: 96%
POLYMARKET
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Bank of Japan Decision in July?
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Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
390 €Ja: 6%KALSHI
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Will the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026?
219,8 €Ja: 6.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the percent change in U.S. nominal GDP in Q2 2026, rounded to the nearest one-hundredth of a percent according to the Federal Reserve Bank of St.
- Louis’s Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) series, is above 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close at 8:25 AM ET on Jul 30, 2026.
- The data is expected to be released at 8:30 AM ET on that date.
- Please see the Rulebook's Instructions section on how to calculate the Underlying.
- In summary, go to the Source Agency link, click “Edit Graph,” and change “Units” to “Percent Change.” Unlike real GDP growth, this percent change is not annualized.