KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 92%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
29.255,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
4.2% / 7.9%
Spread
3.7 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
21. Nov. 24, 15:00 UTC20. Jan. 29, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027?
KalshiWhich Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?
KalshiWill the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Federal Reserve hike interest rates before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?
KalshiRegeln
If a bill has become law which has abolished or dissolved the Federal Reserve Board of Governors and its constituent reserve banks before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The bill need not take effect before January 20, 2029 to be included in the Payout Criterion.
Offene Märkte
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Trump end the Federal Reserve??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 92% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Trump end the Federal Reserve? entschieden?
- Will Trump end the Federal Reserve? soll am 20. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Trump end the Federal Reserve? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If a bill has become law which has abolished or dissolved the Federal Reserve Board of Governors and its constituent reserve banks before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.