Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
FedOne-OffInflationPolitikUS-Politik2Mon
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 99%
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert18. März 26, 16:25 UTC30. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PolymarketECB Interest Rates: December 2026
PolymarketWhich central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in December 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Fed raise the rate 25bps in December 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Reserve Bank of Australia raise the rate 25bps at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExRegeln
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if the Federal Reserve cuts the federal funds rate at least 3 times (in 25-basis-point increments) before December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official FOMC announcements and the Federal Reserve's policy decisions.
- Check the Federal Reserve's official website for rate decision announcements.
- The Fed left the federal funds rate unchanged at the 3.5%–3.75% target range in its January 2026 meeting, after three consecutive rate cuts in 2025.
- The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold the federal funds rate steady within the 3.5%–3.75% target range for a second consecutive meeting in March 2026.
