Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
FedOne-OffInflationPolitikUS Politics3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 99%
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Veraltet18. März 26, 16:25 UTC30. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Will the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PolymarketWhich central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if the Federal Reserve cuts the federal funds rate at least 3 times (in 25-basis-point increments) before December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official FOMC announcements and the Federal Reserve's policy decisions.
- Check the Federal Reserve's official website for rate decision announcements.
- The Fed left the federal funds rate unchanged at the 3.5%–3.75% target range in its January 2026 meeting, after three consecutive rate cuts in 2025.
- The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold the federal funds rate steady within the 3.5%–3.75% target range for a second consecutive meeting in March 2026.
Offene Märkte
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.1%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 34,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,6 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt49.5%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt43.5%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 543.795,1 €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt2%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.8pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.9pt91%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.6pt8%
- Exactly 2 cuts1%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 7,6 Mio. €
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 99% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026? entschieden?
- Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026? soll am 30. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria