KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 100%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
2100,5 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
0.4% / 3.2%
Spread
2.8 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
21. Nov. 24, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
100%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
KalshiWill the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?
KalshiWill the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Lisa Cook leave the office of Federal Reserve governor in 2026?
FutuurRegeln
If the Federal Reserve System has ended before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+10.0pt63.4%
- No change-9.0pt35.6%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 96,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5,4 Mio. €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+7.0pt62.4%
- Fed maintains rate-10.0pt34.6%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 37,4 Mio. €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt58.1%
- Fed maintains rate35.8%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2.3%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 384.062 €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)+1.4pt6%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.6pt1%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIFed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Above 3.50%99%
- Above 2.75%99%
- Above 3.00%99%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 80.351,3 €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+4.5pt70%
- September Meeting+8.0pt63%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Fed Decision in October?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- Fed decision in September?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 100% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027? entschieden?
- Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the Federal Reserve System has ended before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.