KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAbove 10% 15%-5.0%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
28 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
1,3 €
Liquidität
48,6 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
15.0% / 24.0%
Spread
60.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
4. Mai 26, 19:0030. Juli 26, 12:29
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Above 10%15%
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
891,5 €Ja: 1%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
776,9 €June 30: 9%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?
477,7 €Ja: 5%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
47,4 €Before 2027: 11%KALSHI
KALSHI
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
5,9 €$0 / No Acquisition: 81%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
4,9 €Before Jan 1, 2027: 60%KALSHI
KALSHIRegeln
If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 7.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 12.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 15%, then the market resolves to Yes.