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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

1.0% (24h)CommoditiesOne-OffMiddle East6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 44%-0.0%
Marktqualitat

80 / 100

Hohe Qualität
24h-Volumen

427,7 €

Liquidität

52.765 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

43.0% / 45.0%

Spread

4.7%

Mittlerer Spread
7d-Änderung

-4.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

31. März 26, 20:1531. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes44%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
  • Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
  • An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.

Verwandte Märkte

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

153.843,2 €
December 31: 33%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

149.533,6 €
December 31: 19%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

97.200 €
Ja: 11%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?

US-Iran nuclear deal?

778,6 €
Before July: 8%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will Iran fully enrich uranium stockpiles to a level of 90% before July?

45,9 €
Ja: 9.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will LME cobalt metal official cash settlement price exceed 55 USD per kg on June 30, 2026?

10.554 €
Ja: 83.1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
  • Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
  • An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.