PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 26%+2.5ptFührend unter 15 Optionen
Marktqualitat
74 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
44.532,2 €
Liquidität
167.026,3 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadComments
417
7d-Änderung
+0.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
9. März 26, 22:151. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
0%
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0%
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0%
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0%
Regeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe.
- The images or video must be authentic.
- Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
- Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22+1.8pt100%
- August 25+1.1pt97%
- August 31+1.0pt89%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 502.701,6 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.9pt69%
- October 31-0.5pt42%
- September 3027%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETNATO downs another Russian drone by which date?
- August 31100%
- July 31-1.4pt0%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 420.256,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 205.154 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-1.0pt70%
- New People (NL)+2.1pt24%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.3pt5%
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt88.1%
- Yes-1.0pt11.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 97.499,5 €
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt19%
- October 31-3.0pt10%
- September 30-1.0pt8%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Will Iran target a Arab country on?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet December 31 mit 26% (Stand: 23. August 2026).
- Wann wird Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date? entschieden?
- Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET).