Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahlGeopolitikNaher Osten23T
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
No Hormuz Agreement · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Referenzwert
No Hormuz Agreement 82.3%Führend unter 3 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
No Hormuz Agreement 82.3%Marktqualitat
88 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
67.024,7 €
Liquidität
438.530,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
— / —
No Hormuz AgreementSpread
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Kommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
11. Okt. 26, 18:01 UTC4. Nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
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- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Markttiefe · No Hormuz Agreement
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
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PolymarketUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
PolymarketWill Europe find a peaceful agreement with Iran to pass the Strait of Hormuz in 2026 while the US/Iran war continues?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to "Hormuz Agreement; R Senate" if a Hormuz Agreement is announced by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and the Republican Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.
- This market will resolve to "Hormuz Agreement; D Senate" if a Hormuz Agreement is announced by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and the Democratic Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.
- This market will resolve to "the named outcome" immediately if a Hormuz Agreement is not announced by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Hormuz Agreement: A "Hormuz Agreement" will be considered to have occurred if a diplomatic agreement between the United States and Iran over traffic in the Strait of Hormuz is announced by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, policies, obligations, or commitments between the United States and Iran.
- A qualifying diplomatic agreement must establish Iranian policies, obligations, or commitments aimed at permitting, restoring, or increasing vessel or shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.