PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
John Brennan 22%+1.0ptFührend unter 24 Optionen
Marktqualitat
70 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
516,9 €
Liquidität
302.923,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
13
7d-Änderung
-3.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
PolymarketKanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?
PolymarketWill Netanyahu be arrested?
KalshiDario Amodei arrested by December 31?
PolymarketWill Tucker Carlson be arrested in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — Who will be arrested in 2026? · John Brennan 22%
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will be arrested before 2027??
- Polymarket bewertet John Brennan mit 22% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wie wird Who will be arrested before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Wo wird Who will be arrested before 2027? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Kalshi gelistet.