PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
John Brennan · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Referenzwert
John Brennan 21%Führend unter 24 Optionen
John Brennan 21%Marktqualitat
≤74 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1166,5 €
Liquidität
518.573,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätOpen Interest
140.423,5 $
Geld / Brief
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John BrennanSpread
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Kommentare
13
7d-Änderung
-5.2 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
30. Apr. 26, 21:51 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Größte Inhaber
Größte Inhaber werden geladen
Markttiefe · John Brennan
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
PolymarketWhich cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
PolymarketIlhan Omar arrested by which date?
PolymarketFlávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?
PolymarketWill Netanyahu be arrested?
KalshiWhich Trump children will be indicted or arrested by the midterm elections in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — Who will be arrested in 2026? · Ilhan Omar 36%