KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJohn Brennan 49%Führend unter 25 Optionen
Marktqualitat
60 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
7,8 €
Liquidität
4692,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
48.0% / 51.0%
Spread
6.3%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
23. Juli 25, 14:001. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
John Brennan49%
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Who will be arrested before 2027?
+15.0%50%
+14.0%43%
-6.0%42%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
56 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen103.343,4 €
24h-Volumen121,7 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If Gavin Newsom is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied.
- To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.
- If Lee Jun-seok is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bill Clinton is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthony Fauci is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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PREDICTIT
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If Gavin Newsom is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied.
- To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.
- If Lee Jun-seok is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bill Clinton is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthony Fauci is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.