KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 17%
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
3087,7 €
Liquidität
186.860,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
17.0% / 19.0%
Spread
11.8%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Minuten
9. Nov. 24, 19:0020. Jan. 29, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes17%
Plattformen vergleichen· No
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 83% | — | 3087,7 € | 186.860,9 € | vor 19 Minuten | |
 Manifold Markets85% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 94% | — | — | — | gestern | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?
2J
94.4%
5.6%
Community-Prognose83 PrognostikerTyp: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
If the President of the United States has been impeached and convicted by the U.S.
- Senate before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The President must be the sitting President as of the day. the Senate votes on conviction to be included in this market.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$3.5k2. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
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Trump out as President before 2027?
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1209 €No prison time: 34%POLYMARKET
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Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
420,7 €Ja: 67%POLYMARKET
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If the President of the United States has been impeached and convicted by the U.S.
- Senate before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The President must be the sitting President as of the day. the Senate votes on conviction to be included in this market.