PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 97%-0.1pt
Marktqualitat
68 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
7 €
Liquidität
20.555,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
2.7% / 3.0%
Spread
0.3 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
5. Nov. 25, 18:41 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Obama arrested before 2027??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 97% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Obama arrested before 2027? entschieden?
- Obama arrested before 2027? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Obama arrested before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.