PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 93%-0.1pt
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
41.572,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
6.8% / 7.9%
Spread
1.1 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-0.3 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
5. Nov. 25, 17:46 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by which date?
PolymarketLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
PolymarketLee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
PolymarketWill South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
KalshiWho will be arrested in 2026?
KalshiWill Tucker Carlson be arrested in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+0.3pt97%
- September 25-7.5pt84%
- September 30-3.5pt77%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 998.627,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 667.474,9 €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt60%
- October 31+3.0pt36%
- September 309%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 58,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 257.684,2 €
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+3.0pt22%
- October 31+2.5pt12%
- September 30+1.1pt3%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETTrump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt96%
- September 25+4.0pt88%
- September 23+7.5pt74%
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Houthis enter Aden by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Israel military action against Yemen by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 93% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? entschieden?
- Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.