Current implied probability
Labour 36.5%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$351
Liquidity
$413.6K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Trends
0.1%
0.1%
0%
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PolymarketRules
Which party will win the most seats at the next general election
Open markets
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- Marine Le Pen+1.8pt37.4%
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt51.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt46.5%
- Renan Santos+0.8pt2%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.5%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.4%
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KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-1.0pt67%
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KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate-1.0pt46.1%
- D-House, R-Senate36.3%
- R-House, R-Senate15.7%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Next General Election - Most Seats?
- Smarkets prices Labour at 37% as of September 10, 2026.
- How is Next General Election - Most Seats settled?
- Smarkets settles this market as follows: Which party will win the most seats at the next general election