Will the US announce in 2026 it is closing a military base in Germany or Spain?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolitics2mo
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Current implied probability
No 81%
No 81%Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
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-
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Updated 1 minute ago
Apr 9, 26, 3:34 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
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PolymarketRules
This market shall resolve to Yes if, subsequent to the launch of this market and by the End Date listed below, the White House or U.S. Department of Defense issues an official written statement unambiguously stating that the United States will entirely withdraw from or close at least one of the below-listed American military bases, installations, or garrisons in Germany or Spain by a specified date that is prior to January 21, 2029.
The bases, installations, and garrisons are:
Ramstein Air Base, Spangdahlem Air Base, Lucius D. Clay Kaserne, U.S. Army Garrison Ansbach, U.S. Army Garrison Bavaria, U.S. Army Garrison Rheinland-Pfalz, U.S. Army Garrison Stuttgart, U.S. Army Garrison Wiesbaden, Morón Air Base, and Naval Station Rota.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 12/31/2026 11:59 PM (ET)
The bases, installations, and garrisons are:
Ramstein Air Base, Spangdahlem Air Base, Lucius D. Clay Kaserne, U.S. Army Garrison Ansbach, U.S. Army Garrison Bavaria, U.S. Army Garrison Rheinland-Pfalz, U.S. Army Garrison Stuttgart, U.S. Army Garrison Wiesbaden, Morón Air Base, and Naval Station Rota.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 12/31/2026 11:59 PM (ET)