Will George Conway get over 5% of the vote in the NY-12 Dem primary?
One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection
PredictItClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Unverified resolution data: Yes (99%)
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 11, 2026, 2:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Yes99%
No1%
YesAwaiting result
NoAwaiting result
Rules
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that George Conway obtains a vote share in excess of 5% of valid votes officially reported in the 2026 Democratic primary election to the United States House of Representatives from New York's 12th Congressional District.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
