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Current implied probability
Marco Rubio 23%Leader of 8 outcomes
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Retail prediction exchange
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a woman win the 2028 Republican vice presidential nomination?
PredictItWill a woman win the 2028 Democratic vice presidential nomination?
PredictItWho will win the 2028 Democratic vice presidential nomination?
PredictIt2028 Republican Vice-Presidential Nominee
Robinhood (Rothera)2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential Nominee
Robinhood (Rothera)If Gavin Newsom is the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028, who will be the Vice Presidential nominee?
Manifold MarketsRules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the person who wins the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. Vice President.
Replacement of the nominee for any reason prior to election day will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Replacement of the nominee for any reason prior to election day will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.6pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3B
- 24h Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+41.0pt56%
- Nicolás Maduro-39.9pt43%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $706.6M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $221.9M
- 24h Vol
- $635.7K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16.7M
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 more outcomes
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- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will win the 2028 Republican vice presidential nomination??
- PredictIt prices Marco Rubio at 23% as of September 20, 2026.
- How is Who will win the 2028 Republican vice presidential nomination? settled?
- PredictIt settles this market as follows: The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the person who wins the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. Vice President. <br /><br />Replacement of the nominee for any reason prior to election day will have no impact on the resolution of this market.<br /><br />PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
- Where else is Who will win the 2028 Republican vice presidential nomination? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets.