Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Other 52.6%Leader of 15 outcomes
Forecasters
53
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+7.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJul 18, 24, 10:02 AM UTCDec 31, 28, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be the Republican nominee for vice president in the 2028 U.S. elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's vice president candidate in 2024 be chosen as the Republican Party's nominee in 2028?
Manifold MarketsIf Donald Trump dies in office, who will President Vance choose as his Vice President?
Manifold Markets2028 Republican Nominee for President?
GeminiWill a woman be elected US vice president in 2028?
PredictItLA-01 Republican nominee?
KalshiRules
Resolves to whoever is chosen to the Vice President nominee for the Republican Party in 2028.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.6pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3B
- 24h Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+41.0pt56%
- Nicolás Maduro-39.9pt43%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $706.6M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $221.9M
- 24h Vol
- $635.7K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16.7M
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 more outcomes
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be the Republican nominee for Vice President in 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices Other at 53% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Who will be the Republican nominee for Vice President in 2028? resolve?
- Who will be the Republican nominee for Vice President in 2028? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.
- How is Who will be the Republican nominee for Vice President in 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to whoever is chosen to the Vice President nominee for the Republican Party in 2028.
- Where else is Who will be the Republican nominee for Vice President in 2028? listed?
- The same question is also listed on PredictIt.