Unverified resolution data: Democrats 7.0%-7.4%
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 4, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Dem<4.0%, Tie or GOP2%
Democrats 4.0%-4.4%0%
Democrats 4.5%-4.9%0%
Democrats 5.0%-5.4%0%
Democrats 5.5%-5.9%0%
Democrats 6.0%-6.4%0%
Democrats 6.5%-6.9%0%
Democrats 7.0%-7.4%0%
Democrats ≥ 7.5%0%
Dem<4.0%, Tie or GOPAwaiting result
Democrats 4.0%-4.4%Awaiting result
Democrats 4.5%-4.9%Awaiting result
Democrats 5.0%-5.4%Awaiting result
Democrats 5.5%-5.9%Awaiting result
Democrats 6.0%-6.4%Awaiting result
Democrats 6.5%-6.9%Awaiting result
Democrats 7.0%-7.4%Awaiting result
Democrats ≥ 7.5%Awaiting result
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
