PredictItClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Unverified resolution data: 161 to 180 (99%)
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 15, 2026, 2:59 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
80 or fewer9%
81 to 1001%
101 to 1209%
121 to 1400%
141 to 1600%
161 to 18099%
181 to 2001%
201 to 2202%
221 or more1%
161 to 180Awaiting result
80 or fewerAwaiting result
101 to 120Awaiting result
81 to 100Awaiting result
121 to 140Awaiting result
141 to 160Awaiting result
181 to 200Awaiting result
201 to 220Awaiting result
221 or moreAwaiting result
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the total number of posts made by President Trump on the Truth Social social media website between the beginning of October 8, 2026, and the end of October 14, 2026, as categorized by the Settlement Source and as displayed at the End Date listed below.
The Settlement Source shall be the counter on the "Trump Truth's" database for the relevant dates (located upon launch of this market at https://trumpstruth.org/search?query=&start_date=2026-10-08&end_date=2026-10-14&sort=date_desc&removed=current&per_page=50).
The Settlement Source shall be the counter on the "Trump Truth's" database for the relevant dates (located upon launch of this market at https://trumpstruth.org/search?query=&start_date=2026-10-08&end_date=2026-10-14&sort=date_desc&removed=current&per_page=50).
- Should that source be unavailable or deemed by PredictIt to be out of date upon the End Date listed below, PredictIt may at its sole discretion either await its restoration and/or update, select the most appropriate alternate source, or manually count Truth posts (not including deleted posts or posts that are only "re-truths") that are publicly available.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 10/15/2026 11:00 AM (ET)
