PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 6:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No 96%+0.5pt
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$14.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
3.0% / 5.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
5
7d Change
-2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleFeb 4, 26, 10:31 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state.
- Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Open markets
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $209.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $697.1M
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56.6%
- Flávio Bolsonaro39.4%
- Renan Santos+0.3pt2%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.5pt99%
- Seth Moulton-0.9pt1%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt33%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt27%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
+38 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.5pt86%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+0.9pt13%
- Augusto Cury-0.1pt1%
+15 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump nationalize elections??
- Polymarket prices No at 96% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does Will Trump nationalize elections? resolve?
- Will Trump nationalize elections? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Trump nationalize elections? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.