Will Sweden join NATO by January 31?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Feb 1, 2024, 7:15 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleDec 18, 23, 6:51 PMJan 31, 24, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Sweden join NATO by January 31??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? resolve?
- Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? is scheduled to resolve on January 31, 2024.
- How is Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”.