Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza on Monday?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Oct 17, 2023, 2:32 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleOct 15, 23, 10:06 PMOct 16, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by Monday, October 16, 2023, 11:59 PM Israel Time (UTC +3), Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza.
- A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves greater than 1000 Israeli ground forces, and does not include smaller raids or special operations.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- The market will resolve to "No" if no such major ground offensive takes place in Gaza by the Israeli forces by October 16.
- If the event occurs before the expiry date, the market will resolve immediately.