Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza on Monday?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

This market resolved: No

Resolved: Oct 17, 2023, 2:32 AM

Provider-verified resolution

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Current implied probability

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 179 days ago

Stale

Oct 15, 23, 10:06 PM UTCOct 16, 23, 12:00 AM UTC

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

Won

Yes

Lost

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by Monday, October 16, 2023, 11:59 PM Israel Time (UTC +3), Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza.

A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves greater than 1000 Israeli ground forces, and does not include smaller raids or special operations.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The market will resolve to "No" if no such major ground offensive takes place in Gaza by the Israeli forces by October 16.
If the event occurs before the expiry date, the market will resolve immediately.

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