Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Nov 24, 2023, 7:30 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleNov 13, 23, 6:30 PMNov 30, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces a humanitarian pause of at least 24 consecutive hours between November 12 and 30, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a humanitarian pause is defined as "A temporary pause in the fighting for a short period for humanitarian purposes, one that may be designed to allow people to leave a conflict area, repairs to be made, or bring in humanitarian relief or other supplies, etc."
- For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary Israel announces a 24h+ humanitarian pause will take place, regardless of whether it actually occurs.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 24, 2026.
- When does Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? resolve?
- Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? is scheduled to resolve on November 30, 2023.
- How is Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces a humanitarian pause of at least 24 consecutive hours between November 12 and 30, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive).