Will Iran or Pakistan declare war against the other in January?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Feb 1, 2024, 7:16 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleJan 18, 24, 5:12 PMJan 31, 24, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan officially declares war against Iran, or Iran officially declares war against Pakistan by January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Declarations of war must be clear, and explicit.
- The market will resolve to "No" if no such official declaration of war is made from Pakistan or Iran against the other by the specified date.
- Only Iran and Pakistan themselves declaring war will suffice to resolve this market - e.g. if Pakistani militant group Jaish al-Adl declared war against Iran it will not count for this market.