Will Iran officially join the war in 2023?
GeopoliticsPolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Jan 1, 2024, 7:03 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probabilityNo 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleOct 15, 23, 9:19 PMDec 31, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran officially declares war on Israel by December 31, 2023 11:59 PM ET.
- Declarations of war must be clear, and explicit.
- The market will resolve to "No" if no such official declaration of war is made by the specified date.
- Note that Israel or Hamas declaring war is not considered for this market.
- Further note if e.g. Hezbollah declared war, it will not satisfy a “Yes” resolution - only Iran itself declaring war will suffice.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Iran officially join the war in 2023??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? resolve?
- Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2023.
- How is Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran officially declares war on Israel by December 31, 2023 11:59 PM ET.