Will Hamas surrender before February?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Feb 1, 2024, 7:02 AM
Provider-verified resolution
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Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
NoWon
YesLost
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, Hamas officially announces a surrender in its conflict with Israel. "Surrender" refers to a formal acknowledgment of defeat, entailing a cessation of all military and hostile activities against Israel, and this must be communicated through an official statement recognized by international authorities or bodies.
- The market will resolve to "No" if Hamas does not officially declare such a surrender by January 31, 2023.
- If the event of surrend er occurs before the expiry date, the market will resolve immediately.
- Resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting.