Will Hamas surrender before February?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Feb 1, 2024, 7:02 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleDec 8, 23, 9:17 PMJan 31, 24, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, Hamas officially announces a surrender in its conflict with Israel. "Surrender" refers to a formal acknowledgment of defeat, entailing a cessation of all military and hostile activities against Israel, and this must be communicated through an official statement recognized by international authorities or bodies.
- The market will resolve to "No" if Hamas does not officially declare such a surrender by January 31, 2023.
- If the event of surrend er occurs before the expiry date, the market will resolve immediately.
- Resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Hamas surrender before February??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Will Hamas surrender before February? resolve?
- Will Hamas surrender before February? is scheduled to resolve on January 31, 2024.
- How is Will Hamas surrender before February? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, Hamas officially announces a surrender in its conflict with Israel. "Surrender" refers to a formal acknowledgment of defeat, entailing a cessation of all military and hostile activities against Israel, and this must be communicated through an official statement recognized by international authorities or bodies.