PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Howard Lutnick · —
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Stored reference
Howard Lutnick 34.5%Leader of 25 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Howard Lutnick 34.5%Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.3K
Liquidity
$50K
High liquidityOpen interest
$3.6K
Bid / Ask
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Howard LutnickSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+16.6 pts
Market data
Updated 37 minutes ago
Nov 6, 26, 10:59 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Howard Lutnick
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
KalshiWho will leave Trump's Cabinet first: Rubio or Hegseth?
KalshiWill Lee Zeldin still be a member of Trump’s cabinet by the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsHow many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?
PolymarketWhich Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsNew Senate confirms a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration.
- If no one leaves by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".
- An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
- If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first.
- If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
- For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes the Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President's Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA).