Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 53.3%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 11, 24, 10:32 PM UTCJan 21, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Lee Zeldin has been picked to lead the EPA
- https://x.com/LeeMZeldin/status/1856068555865026956
- If he’s still in office by the end of Trump’s term (including cases where Trump dies or leaves office early), this resolved Yes.
- If he is never officially appointed once Trump takes office, it resolves n/a.
- If he leaves because he dies or becomes sick, it resolves n/a.
- If he leaves because he voluntarily quits for reasons unrelated to health, it resolves No.
