Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 53.3%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleNov 11, 24, 10:32 PM UTCJan 21, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
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KalshiAnnouncement that Pam bondi is out and Lee zeldin in by eoy 2026?
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PolymarketWhich Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
Lee Zeldin has been picked to lead the EPA
- https://x.com/LeeMZeldin/status/1856068555865026956
- If he’s still in office by the end of Trump’s term (including cases where Trump dies or leaves office early), this resolved Yes.
- If he is never officially appointed once Trump takes office, it resolves n/a.
- If he leaves because he dies or becomes sick, it resolves n/a.
- If he leaves because he voluntarily quits for reasons unrelated to health, it resolves No.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Lee Zeldin still be a member of Trump’s cabinet by the end of his term??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 53% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Lee Zeldin still be a member of Trump’s cabinet by the end of his term? resolve?
- Will Lee Zeldin still be a member of Trump’s cabinet by the end of his term? is scheduled to resolve on January 21, 2029.
- How is Will Lee Zeldin still be a member of Trump’s cabinet by the end of his term? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Lee Zeldin has been picked to lead the EPA