Which party will win the Maine State Senate in 2026?
2.5 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democratic Party 91.2%+2.5ptVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$53.1
Liquidity
$19K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
92.0% / 93.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 6:11 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the Maine State Senate in the 2026 Maine midterm election.
- A party wins control of the Maine Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats.
- If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President of the State Senate that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.
- If no President of the State Senate is chosen by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.
- All regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the following State Senate and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included.