What are the current odds for Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government??

Polymarket prices SPD at 89% as of August 21, 2026.

Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

4.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffChess Election Sports4mo

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current implied probability

SPD 89%+9.5pt

Leader of 8 outcomes

Market quality

60 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$3K

Liquidity

$56.4K

High liquidity

Spread

5.1 pt

Wide spread

Comments

Market data

Updated 19 minutes ago

Aug 20, 26, 5:43 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor.
A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor.

Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

4.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffChess Election Sports4mo

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current implied probability

SPD 89%+9.5pt

Leader of 8 outcomes

Market quality

60 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$3K

Liquidity

$56.4K

High liquidity

Spread

5.1 pt

Wide spread

Comments

Market data

Updated 19 minutes ago

Aug 20, 26, 5:43 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor.
A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government??: Polymarket prices SPD at 89% as of August 21, 2026.
When does Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government? resolve?: Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
How is Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government? settled?: Polymarket settles this market as follows: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

Frequently asked questions

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