What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Oct 23, 2026, 6:40 AM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
France / Paris79%
Google45%
Hell 15+ times52%
Hormuz / Blockade52%
Right to Repair / Right to Fix50%
Russia / Ukraine68%
Tax 33+ times39%
Transgender 7+ times51%
-No Qualifying Event-8%
AI / Artificial Intelligence35%
Ass57%
Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times42%
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency3%
Data Center36%
Fentanyl / Deport / Deported0%
Filibuster14%
Meat / Steak64%
SI / Super Intelligence0%
Veteran47%
Democrat 5+ timesWon
France / ParisWon
GoogleWon
Hell 15+ timesWon
Hormuz / BlockadeWon
Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ timesWon
Right to Repair / Right to FixWon
Russia / UkraineWon
Tax 33+ timesWon
Transgender 7+ timesWon
-No Qualifying Event-Lost
AI / Artificial IntelligenceLost
AssLost
Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ timesLost
Bitcoin / Crypto / CryptocurrencyLost
Data CenterLost
Fentanyl / Deport / DeportedLost
FilibusterLost
Meat / SteakLost
SI / Super IntelligenceLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa on October 22, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
- (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-sioux-city-ia-president-donald-j-trump-djt)
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
- This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Iowa on October 22, 2026.
- Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.