PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Resolved: Oct 13, 2026, 4:05 PM
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Probability Timeline
America First39%
Karoline / Leavitt80%
President / Trump 30+ times83%
-No Qualifying Event-1%
AI / Artificial Intelligence0%
Go Ahead0%
Hormuz0%
Iran 5+ times0%
Legacy Media21%
Nuclear 2+ times48%
Russia / Ukraine0%
SI / Super Intelligence0%
Save America0%
Transgender0%
Truth Social0%
America FirstWon
Karoline / LeavittWon
President / Trump 30+ timesWon
-No Qualifying Event-Lost
AI / Artificial IntelligenceLost
Go AheadLost
HormuzLost
Iran 5+ timesLost
Legacy MediaLost
Nuclear 2+ timesLost
Russia / UkraineLost
SI / Super IntelligenceLost
Save AmericaLost
TransgenderLost
Truth SocialLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will attend a White House Press Briefing in 2026?
KalshiWhen will the White House announce an end to its press ban?
KalshiWill Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWhite House # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
- If no such press briefing happens by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
- This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/).
- Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant.
- Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.