Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
One-OffUS Politics2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 52.8%
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225
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleMay 23, 24, 1:11 PM UTCJun 1, 29, 3:59 AM UTC
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PolymarketRules
From: https://x.com/_ArnaudS_/status/1793209848953233872, clarifying Tyler Cowen's claims.
- Resolves YES if either:
- An invited participant clearly and unambiguously quotes Eliezer Yudkowsky.
- An identifying percentage of his name passes any invited participant's lips for any reason.
- Doesn't matter what the context is.
- Resolves NO if it doesn't.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 53% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years? resolve?
- Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years? is scheduled to resolve on June 1, 2029.
- How is Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: From: https://x.com/_ArnaudS_/status/1793209848953233872, clarifying Tyler Cowen's claims.