PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Feb 5, 2024, 12:31 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 147 days ago
StaleJan 30, 24, 3:08 AMJan 31, 24, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
After a drone attack from Iranian-backed militias on a US military base killed 3 US troops on Jan 28, US President Biden vowed to "hold all those responsible to account at a time and in a manner our choosing."
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a US response to the drone attacks by January 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- A response by the US refers to action(s) carried out by the US that are explicitly in response to Iran’s drone attack, which may include strikes, cyber attacks, sanctions, etc. The resolution source will be official sources from the US government, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of March 31, 2026.
- When does US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31? resolve?
- US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31? is scheduled to resolve on January 31, 2024.
- How is US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: After a drone attack from Iranian-backed militias on a US military base killed 3 US troops on Jan 28, US President Biden vowed to "hold all those responsible to account at a time and in a manner our choosing."