PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 4:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
36.0+ · —
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Stored reference
36.0+ 98%Leader of 6 outcomes
36.0+ 98%Market quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.6K
Liquidity
$4.8K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$2.1K
Bid / Ask
— / —
36.0+Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 30, 26, 2:31 PM UTCNov 7, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · 36.0+
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Trump approval rating on November 6?
PolymarketTrump's approval rating on Nov 6, 2026?
KalshiHow low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (10/30-11/6)
KalshiHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketWill Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's approval rating according to RealClearPolling is equal to or higher than the listed value at 5:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date.
- Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after this time will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below.
- Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.