Current implied probability
ADI 90%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$80
Liquidity
$73.2K
High liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 20, 26, 9:46 AM UTCSep 27, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner
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Manifold MarketsRules
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the second greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
- Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $837.2K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213M
- 24h Vol
- $477.5K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place?
- Polymarket prices ADI at 90% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place resolve?
- São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place is scheduled to resolve on September 27, 2026.
- How is São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.