PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 87%
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.7K
Liquidity
$2.3K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 14.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Sep 14, 26, 10:46 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI.
- Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.