KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 72.5% (96%)
Resolved: Sep 15, 2026, 2:48 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Above 72.5%
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
0%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 15, 2026, 1:55 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Above 75%1%
Above 72.5%96%
Above 67.5%92%
Above 77.5%2%
Above 70%77%
Above 80%21%
Above 82.5%0%
Above 87.5%0%
Above 85%10%
Above 67.5%Lost
Above 70%Lost
Above 72.5%Won
Above 77.5%Lost
Above 75%Lost
Above 80%Lost
Above 82.5%Lost
Above 87.5%Lost
Above 85%Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Sep 14, 2026 is above 67.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards
- This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart.
- At 10:00 AM ET on Sep 15, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Sep 14, 2026.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Sep 14, 2026 is above 70%, then the market resolves to Yes.