Manifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastYes 94.5%
Forecasters
50
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 21 days ago
StaleMay 14, 24, 8:48 AMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes95%
Compare venues· Yes
Ordered by 24h volume| Venue | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold MarketsThis pageMost active | 95% | — | — | — | 21 days ago | |
 Futuur | 90% | — | $200.2 | $0 | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Futuur
Sam Altman still CEO of OpenAI through the end of 2026?
5mo
90%
10%
32 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$200.2
24h Vol$200.2
FUTUURRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.