What are the current odds for 7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.?

Manifold Markets prices No at 93.1% as of October 26, 2026.

When does 7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI. resolve?

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI. is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is 7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI. settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: All these predictions are taken from Forbes/Rob Toews' "10 AI Predictions For 2026".

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7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

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Current community forecast

No 93.1%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 20 hours ago

Stale

Dec 28, 25, 11:31 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

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Rules

All these predictions are taken from Forbes/Rob Toews' "10 AI Predictions For 2026".

For the 2025 predictions you can find them here, and their resolution here.
You can find all the markets under the tag [2026 Forbes AI predictions].
Note that I will resolve to whatever Forbes/Rob Toews say in their resolution article for 2026's predictions, even if I or others disagree with his decision.
I might bet in this market, as I have no power over the resolution.
Description of this prediction from the article:

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7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

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