PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 6:12 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Google · —
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Stored reference
Google 15%Leader of 13 outcomes
Google 15%Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$2.2K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$18.8K
Bid / Ask
— / —
GoogleSpread
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Comments
1
7d Change
-1.1 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleSep 14, 26, 8:59 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Google
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?
PolymarketWhich AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?
PolymarketFrontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic be the first among the "Big Three" private AI labs to achieve profitable quarterly earnings?
Manifold MarketsWill any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US or UK nationalize any frontier AI labs by 2035?
Manifold MarketsRules
On September 12, 2026, Anthropic committed to giving embedded third-party evaluators permanent, ongoing, employee-level access to its AI models and training processes.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify.
- Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
- A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity.
