PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
OpenAI · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
OpenAI 10%Leader of 4 outcomes
OpenAI 10%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$20
Liquidity
$2.4K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$1.9K
Bid / Ask
— / —
OpenAISpread
—
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Sep 17, 26, 7:54 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · OpenAI
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?
PolymarketWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
PolymarketFrontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic be the first among the "Big Three" private AI labs to achieve profitable quarterly earnings?
Manifold MarketsIn Jan 2027, will the top 3 leading AI labs be offering fewer than 15 flagship LLMs between them?
Manifold MarketsWill any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause all training of AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A full training pause means the company halts all training for its AI models, including pre-training, fine-tuning, and reinforcement learning, across the company.
- Pauses limited to particular models, training methods, training environments, or teams will not qualify.
- A full pause of any stated duration qualifies.
- Continued deployment or serving of existing models does not prevent a pause from qualifying.
