PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Putin
Resolved: Jun 26, 2023, 3:45 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Putin 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleJun 24, 23, 1:10 AMAug 31, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Putin100%
Wagner0%
100%
0%
Rules
This is a market on whether Wagner’s coup (Yevgeny Viktorovich Prigozhin) against Russia will be successful.
- This market will resolve to “Putin” if at any time Yevgeny Prigozhin is taken into custody (i.e. arrested, captured, etc.) or otherwise discontinues the coup.
- It will resolve to “Wagner” if at any time Putin is no longer the Russian President.
- The resolution date for this market will be August 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, at which point if Putin is still President and has more power over Russia, this market will resolve to “Putin”.
- If one of the aforementioned conditions is met prior to the resolution date, this market will resolve instantly.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner?
- Polymarket prices Putin at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner resolve?
- Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner is scheduled to resolve on August 31, 2023.
- How is Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This is a market on whether Wagner’s coup (Yevgeny Viktorovich Prigozhin) against Russia will be successful.