PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Raquel Lyra 54.9%-7.5ptLeader of 3 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.6K
Liquidity
$25.9K
High liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
-7.0 pts
Market data
Updated 28 minutes ago
Jul 10, 26, 1:31 AM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place
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PolymarketBrazil Election 2026: Who will be elected Governor of Pernambuco (PB)?
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KalshiMichigan 2026 governor election winner
Manifold MarketsRules
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Pernambuco Governor winner? · João Campos 36%