Nothing Ever Happens: August
0.1 pts (24h)FedOne-OffCommoditiesRegulationGeopoliticsMiddle EastRussia / Ukraine5d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Nothing 99%-0.1pt
Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.8K
Liquidity
$13.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
98.4% / 99.0%
Spread
0.6 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+1.6 pts
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jul 31, 26, 10:36 PMAug 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law - Fed emergency rate cut - Iran targets Ukraine - Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal - Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
- The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_August.pdf
