PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo Change 91%+8.4%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4K
Liquidity
$32.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
89.9% / 91.1%
Spread
1.3%
Tight spread7d Change
-5.3%
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jul 2, 26, 7:47 PMSep 2, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
No Change91%
Compare venues· No Change
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 91% | — | $4K | $32.5K | 5 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi95% match · auto | Low | 86% | — | $216 | $1.6K | 25 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Bank of Canada decision in Sep 2026?
1.0%1mo
+1.0%86%
10%
9%
+2 more outcomes
44 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$2.5K
24h Vol$216
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the September 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its September 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for September 2, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its September 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$4.0kJul 224d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the September 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its September 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for September 2, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its September 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).