PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability
PL 88%+1.5%Leader of 39 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$6K
Liquidity
$290.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
11.2% / 11.4%
Spread
1.8%
Tight spread7d Change
+0.1%
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Feb 11, 26, 10:37 PMOct 4, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
PL88%
Also available on Kalshi
Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Senate election?
1y
83%
0%
7%
+2 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$9K
24h Vol$0
KALSHIRules
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
- This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
- Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
- In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Brazilian Senate, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
- If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
- This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
- Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
- In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Brazilian Senate, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
- If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".