Current implied probability
Liberal Party 83%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$2.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
78.0% / 83.0%
Spread
6.4%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Sep 12, 25, 2:00 PMOct 4, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Liberal Party83%
Also available on Polymarket
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won
1.1%3mo
-0.5%88%
+1.1%11%
0%
+36 more outcomes
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$270.3K
24h Vol$2.8K
POLYMARKETRules
If Liberal Party wins 2026 Brazilian Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
- For a parliamentary election, the winner is the party or formal pre-election coalition that wins the most seats in the specified chamber, even if they do not form the government.
- If there is a tie for the most seats, the winner is the party that enters government; if that doesn't resolve the tie, the winner is the party with the higher share of the vote.
- If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years.
- Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If Liberal Party wins 2026 Brazilian Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
- For a parliamentary election, the winner is the party or formal pre-election coalition that wins the most seats in the specified chamber, even if they do not form the government.
- If there is a tie for the most seats, the winner is the party that enters government; if that doesn't resolve the tie, the winner is the party with the higher share of the vote.
- If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years.
- Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.